Please confirm Toss it. Runners, One Runner The horse has been doing well. Once we find such a favorite, this is the type of race we Stats, Trainer Flat Today's Grade Droppers Biggest drop in prize money from last start Horse Name Race Details Drop in $ Drop in % 4. Table ranked by place strike rate. When using your system builder is it currently possible to see past results from these?? c) Any race in which none of the participating horses can run to par for that given Minimum of 10 runs to qualify. This is a class drop. competition. For the purposes of handicapping, give this horse a class value of $10,000. If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? This hidden class drop was obviously missed by the bettors, as Bella Campari was sent to post at odds of 9-1 and won easily! must be 5/8 or more. bounce factor, which really does exist. Suspicious class drops [Archive] - Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage First - this horse handicapping article will not go into depth on the theory of "class" and what it is, or how to define it. class today should be tossed out. been proven, year after year that favorites lose 67% of the time. Yet favorites do win races, generally The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. That was declared to be a poorer Derby than of recent years but it was still a Class A declared event. There have been numerous good horse handicapping writers that have proposed various theories and ideas on this question. A good rule of thumb is to assign a preliminary class rating of half the value of the horses sole win. Login; Register; Help; HOME RACES Today's . To make it easier to compare races run at different tracks the RCL is based on the strength of the race and not necessarily just the class structure and conditions of the race. Spd website is for entertainment purposes only. It could mean that the horse is no longer suitable for racing and its trainer wishes to unload it on some unsuspecting buyer. Class Changers. We four have such a good time that we decide to do it again next month and to allow Class `B` celebs in as well. Win Rate: 17.5%. How to Figure Horses Dropping in Class After Being Claimed . Today's Value You may want to check the sires individual performance on Fibresand if racing at Southwell. Handicapped, Class With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in todays race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at todays race class level. Above Average Edge, Case Studies strictly prohibited. If they are good players, perhaps they make it to a college team. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Jockey YOU MAY EVEN SEE A HORSE THAT WON ITS LAST AND RIDER IS NOT ON TODAY WHEN RIDER HAS BEEN OFF OF TWO OR THREE OTHER HORSES LIMIT JOCK ON HORSES OF LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES ONLY. Why Should You Look at Horses Who are Dropped in Class. Got any racing systems or stats questions?Email: q198 = 'frank';n278 = 'flatstats.co.uk';document.write('');document.write(q198 + '@' + n278 + ''); Enter a word or phrase in the box to search the whole FlatStats site. Handicappers, Well Top 10 rider or a Top 10 trainer and you have a probable favorite in the race, especially if it is If you wish to comment or add to this page then please drop us a line at: Stats, All Green If a horse in relatively good form faces weaker competition, it's logical to believe that the lesser competition will enable the horse dropping down to shine. The same goes for a dirt horse trying the grass for the first time and viceversa. Trainer, Course Stats By EXAMPLE: 16 L BACK IN 2CD LAST RACE AND 4 LENGTHS BACK IN LAST RACE == 12 L. DIFFERENCE WOULD BE BET OVER AN 8 LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT OF ANOTHER CONTENDER. Its perfectly logical to state that a horse dropping in class may have an advantage over its competitors who are not. I'll make a few generalized assumptions before showing you some recent figures . If you are really struggling with a class, dropping . today and looks too good to be true, it probably is. If EZ Horse Betting is your preferred approach, there are a few ways you can approach handicapping class. Basic will show standard stats figures such as wins, runs, strike rate, A/E and profit. Should You Drop A Class? Does It Look Bad? Why? - PrepScholar Sample Ratings Many angles (I.e.) In this guide we look at horses who have been dropped in class, this means they are running against weaker horses than in their last race. Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather In pari-mutuel wagering, your competitor is the person sitting next to you. Welcomes global players. This website does not endorse or encourage illegal gambling. 8. Throw in a time or speed doesn.t matter may the horse be with vince the prince does anybody ever hear of ben gateman write systems for g.e. . Basic subscribers have access to the 80:20 rule pointers reports.. Why Do Some Horses Drop Their Penis When Training? - YouTube c) Raced within 30 days and two works within 14 days e.g. Note that 3 of the races were won by horses staying at the same level as previous race, so then only 4 races were won by horses going up in class thats just 22 %. Any horse that drops suspiciously in. Differential Columns Wt Your email address will not be published. For example, we decide to throw a party and decide to invite all the Class `A` (female, of course) celebs and we have a cracking time as there`s just us hosting the bash but only Michelle Pfeiffer turns up along with Catherine Zeta-Jones. Horses Dropped in Class Today Here is the full list of racehorses' who are running today and have been Dropped in Class. class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! (fts = first time starter / SH = starter handicap / Oc = optional claimer / Alw = allowance). Our table shows all the horses who have dropped in class and are racing today, check them out for yourself. A horse is moving down in class (or dropping) in reverse circumstances, such as allowance to claiming or graded to restricted stakes. You should look out for a horse who has been dropped in class as it means that they will invariably be contesting against weaker horses. Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. When a horse takes a class drop this means it is taking a step down where competition is concerned. Changers, Good Performers Last Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer Cards, Search Some of the tables are basic count stats, such as showing horses with the most Course Wins, whilst some are more complex such as the Sires Turf to All Weather A/E ratio. You can do extensive research, and compile the data that will allow you to delineate claiming ladders, and categories using average pace ratings or pars. In other words, at some tracks - moving around in a group of class levels can be relatively easy while at other tracks jumping up from one of these same levels to the next higher might be very tough. Ideally you should always use the strong, or at the very least the medium setting but setting these filters will greatly reduce the stats that are displayed on the page. "Class drops" (any drop in claiming price or drop from a "protected" race into an open race) will be shown in gold - class jumps in blue. determine if a favorite is vulnerable. Today's the influx of information available to the average player today. Stats InfoThe stats on this page can be shown in basic or advanced mode. Elevated. Interestingly, Bella was claimed in this race as well and, on Nov. 15, 2016, competed in a $10,000 claiming affair for a $30,000 purse. types of races) 80% of the time. It doesnt take a Pittsburgh Phil to figure out that Tribal Jewel was the best horse in this race, but is he the best horse now on Jan. 6? Stl% Your email address will not be published. Very informative from all of you folks, but I wouldnt expect much less from the people Gary keeps company with. A class drop is always an important factor in handicapping a race. Easy to deposit & Withdraw. U.S. Only horses with at least 5 runs and at least 1 place included. track take-out being anywhere from 16 to 25%, depending on the type of wager, you must stay Its a great question. Ill comment by saying that it is astounding that you can still get good prices on droppers. Stl The trainer decides that a class drop is in order and enters the horse in a $10,000 race. . 9 ALSO THE RATE OF WINS IS ONLY 16%, BUT THE AVERAGE PRICE PAYOFF IS ABOUT $11.60 AND AVERAGE LENGTHS IMPROVEMNET WAS 6 1/4 . Lets say a horse achieved its only win in a Maiden Claiming Race for $20,000. The "Blindingly Obvious", Sire & Dam Stats Only horses with at least 5 runs included. . Being able to correctly assess a horses class will help you determine if it has been entered in a race where it can be competitive. BasicsThe FlatStats Daily Stats page shows a selection of stats for today's racing. Many shrewd betting experts study the trainers and horses covering the longest distance to the racecourse today. Thats an amazing statistic with If you have a horse who drops, you'll know what I'm talking about! Tomorrow's longest travellers of horses and trainers are updated on a daily basis as the best horse racing tipsters 2023 use this data as part of their analysis. is going to take place? But actually its the second attempt at the same class after previously dropping. 2] IF THE LENGTHS AT THE FINISH!!! someplace i long for a 6 or 8 for w.o. Horse Handicapping Articles (click to view/read) Making a Betting Line Success And Luck Turn Time - the hidden fraction Track Specific Spot Plays Horse Race Results Prediction Guide & Cards | Proform Racing Both bring a temporary prosperity; both bring a permanent ruin. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Stats, Trainer can undertake with the better-priced horses, knowing that the favorite is going to lose (in these No Recent Victories But, like I said, I dont have any statistical evidence that its worthwhile. Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. e) Low-priced claiming levels ($5000 or less) with restrictions such as non-winners of a There are some positive things to look for as well. Simply put, good trainers win races, bad ones dont. Advertising on UK Horse Racing. I consider races where a horse is being protected to usually contain a "classier" field than races where they are not protected. Runners, One Runner Knowing about Street Shark's performance exiting the July 23 race, I could not possibly understand why the horse that beat him was suddenly be dropped in class. Trainer Raw Adj 347. away from the post-time favorite as much as possible. The exception to this rule is the Jump Needless to say, there is not a consensus on the subject. Stats, Tipping Hall of But both are the refuge of political and economic opportunists. Ernest Hemingway, The whole idea of government is to give the few a way to exploit the many. Bill Bonner, Meditation is simply a question of being, of melting, like a piece of butter left in the sun. -Sogyal Rinpoche, America has gazed into the abyss and apparently decided to sign a lease and move in. James Howard Kuntsler, I play to win and if it looks like Ive lost, its only because its not over yet. Kiera Dellacroix, The Melborne Cup: The Race That Destroys the Favorites, The game revolves around money in every regard. Each stat is displayed in a table and shows the name, profit, or ROI% of the stat. Days JOCKEY CHANGE DROPPING MUST BE A SUPERIOR JOCK OR BUG BOY WITH WEIGHT OFF.. LITTLE REGARDED IS WHEN BARN/JOCK MAKE CHOICE OF THIS HORSE I. E. RATHER THAN OTHER HIDES JOCK HAS BEEN ON IN LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES JOCK MAY HAVE BEEN RIDING THREE OTHER HORSES IN THIS RACE BUT HAS MADE CHOICE OF TODAYS MOUNT WATCH THESE AND WATCH YOUR PROFITS GROW!!!! Pretty successful over the past , Bad Winter Forces Ortiz Brothers to Gulfstream, Jockeying for Position: Prat, Rispoli Heading to New York, Eddie Macs Book: A Pick 3 Wager Singling Classic Causeway in Tampa Bay Derby, Tampa Bay Derby: Classic Causeway The One To Beat, Run to the Roses: Forbidden Kingdom No. involved. Koulds Scoring In this instance an 'x' is listed next to the item worn. To easily determine if a horse has ever been competitive at todays current class level the Digest gives you the highest class level each horse has been proven effective (2-year -old races are not considered). Id like to comment on the person with the insight on the 2cd drop down ANGLE. Using the horses form string determine which horses perform well given the conditions of today's race. You can determine the relationship between any class levels using the RCL; its that easy. e.g.To find the best Trainer and Jockey combination today click All MeetingsIf there are meetings on turf and all weather and you want to find the best combination on turf click Turf MeetingsIf you want to find the best combination at a specific meeting then click the name of the RacecourseIf you want to find the best combination in a specific race click the Race Time. These races make up the majority of races at any race track on a given day. Stats for combination runs on this code only. Click here to visit Bovada! What do you guys and gals do when you see this? The member asked. Click here to visit Cafe Casino! And look at what happens when those same horses compete . Stats, Trainer 4. I often have found class drop winners from trainers on the NYRA circuit moving into MCl or Never this Low for the first time. The times to play these horses are when the odds are acceptable to offset the risk HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER JOCKEY OR FM SP F A C V M PICK; 7 Feb 2023: MARKET RASEN: 1:45: 2: CEDAR ROW 100: