Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. Well surely reply you within 48 hours. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. In its Final Data report of U.S. deaths for 2010, the CDC reported assault (homicide) dropped off of the list of the 15 leading causes of death, becoming 16th, following pneumonitis due to solids and liquids.. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the waterin the middle of that life preserver. The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. Mirabile visu (Wondrous to behold)! A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. The Zen philosopher, Basho, once wrote, A flute with no holes, is not a flute. Not only has He always known us; he has known everything each of us would do, for every one of our days has been written in His book before one of them ever came to be. They agree to within a factor of two! If I had 400 trillion pennies to my name, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Similarly, Dr. Ali Binazir, in his article for The Huffington Post, has a clever calculation that resulted in his estimate that the probability of being born is 1 in 10 2,685,000 . Heres Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. This button displays the currently selected search type. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. 2023 The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers on this website. Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. Yes, youre here all right, and math can barely account for your existence, so tiny are the odds; but God has overseen every detail and knew you long before you were born. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. No one else has had a soul like mine, no one will have a soul like it. You asked for more Brain Yoga, so here are the upcoming classes. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. Our babys name creator can help you find a baby at 12 weeks old and unique name for your child. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Anything with a lower probability than that would not happen, said Borel the numbers man. So beginning with your folks, your odds of you being born come out to 1 in 400,000,000,000,000,000 or 1 in 4 quadrillion. He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about . The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (410 14). I bet the odds of becoming a millionaire in Zambia, where I lived for one year, is less than 1%. In other words, when seen in the aggregate, that probability is simply stating that it is very hard to predict _who_ will exist and not that someone will. That probability is low but the presence of super-novae throughout the cosmos is not. Which one's bigger? On one try. (+ My podcast interview on raising your spirits), Staying Sane in Trying Times Seminars, Apr 22-25, WED FEB 19: The 5 Magic Questions What 5000 Womens Letters Reveal About Love & Dating, How often should you call him? Or are we some mysterious combination of impossible and inevitable? This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. They each roll the diceand they all come up the exact same numbersay, 550,343,279,001. This is a vastly greater improbability than one in 1050. I would certainly add in (sadly) that there is the possibility of abortion or miscarriage, but even a simple analysis yields an astonishingly small probability. Same to all of us. If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. But, doesnt that seem a bit low? It makes me want to practice love, forgiveness, gratitude, acceptance, service/charity, kindness, being humble while inherently owning my miraculous self. They say that it is impossible for human life to exist without divine intervention. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. We do not only have common English names, but also uncommon ones that have unique origins and meanings. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Heres a thought experiment to help illustrate the unbelievably huge size of these numbers. Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million dollar lottery 9 times over your life again than you would have being born. Theologically, of course, we are no accident; we do not exist by happenstance. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. This is true no matter how far back in your family's history you may wish to go. xx, Lets be social! And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. I am only publishing a small number of his musings, but you can read his full article here: What Are the Chances of You Being Born?. Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. Blog Home Uncategorized dr ali binazir odds of being born. Dr. Ali Binazir Specializes In Dating/Being Single Support, Empowering Women, NLP, Phobias/OCD And Wellness And Is Located In San Francisco, CA. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. The odds of being born are less than the total number of atoms in the known universe! Are You a Miracle? If this writer can grasp the concept then any one of those infinite monkeys can. He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, The answer is five hundred bazillion squintillion, we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. A fertile woman has about 100,000 viable eggs while a man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. His reasoning being that each person experiences an event of some sort every second. Why? Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. Lets say the fly takes a brief respite of one million years between trips. In other words, as this infographic figures it,. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Has anybody ever said to you Youre one in a million? Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? Take a second and think about that, and put a smile on your face, you fucking miracle you. They'd be amazed to hear that Chance has been toying with them now for years. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. 7 distinct works Similar authors. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of this precious incarnation. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a farfetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. But lets make it longer. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Lets say a life preservers hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside, which we will conveniently round to 0.5 square meters. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Consider some of the contingencies and requirements for your existence as set forth by Mr. Binazir. But now, as long as I'm musing about insane probabilities, I thought I'd delve a little into the odds of us even being born and what that took! So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. And whats even more profound is that 10^2,685,00 is not even remotely comparable with eternity. The chances of your specific sperm meeting your specific egg? On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 102,685,000. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Lets not get carried away here; well just deal with the human lineage. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. He calculated that an average human could expect to experience such an occurrence once every 35 days. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. dr ali binazir odds of being born. Are they gross exaggerations? Your email address will not be published. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Now things start getting interesting. -- from "Love at First Sight", Wislawa Szymborska, The End and The Beginning, 1993. One in 2,000. Are they gross exaggerations? Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 1 in 2.

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