266, the . The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, was founded on March 7, 2008, as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in New Jersey and Virginian and looks at the debate playing out between the two parties over how much wealthy Americans and corporations should be paying in taxes. 1 min read; Jun 05, 2022; Bagikan : parade of homes matterport . They also analyze a new poll from YouGov that breaks down why 78 percent of Americans say they have changed their mind on one or more political issue over the course of their lives. Crime analyst Jeff Asher discussed what those numbers can -- and can't -- tell us, and explains the challenges in collecting crime data. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the best way to poll Americans satisfaction with their own lives and the direction of the country. With one week left until Election Day, the crew analyzes some of the high-profile races and which issues Americans care about most as they enter the voting booth. Feb. 28GLASTONBURY When Jonathan K. Luiz starts work as town manager March 31, he will be making $190,000 per year. 0:00:00 In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly taken the possibility of future political violence in America seriously. The Supreme Court Not So Much. Former FDA commissioner Scott Gottlieb joins the podcast to discuss Americas unpreparedness for COVID-19 and how the country should prepare for the next pandemic. The Perks Workers Want Also Make Them More Productive, Democrats Are Open To Ditching Biden In 2024. They also consider whether a new poll showing that America's reputation has rebounded abroad is a good or bad use of polling. So, the usual. The crew discusses the races to watch in 2023. These articles reported facts without employing biased word choice, slant, or other types of media bias . They also try to get to the bottom of whether Americans support the Parental Rights In Education Bill -- or what its critics call the Dont Say Gay Bill -- which Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed into law last week. Five Thirty-Eight sometimes referred to as 538, focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging. Our podcast helps listeners understand what they can be certain about, and what is still unknown. Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss why live caller surveys are no longer the gold standard in polling and what it means for the future of the industry. 04:58 PM. They also discuss Bidens sweeping vaccine mandate -- how Americans feel about vaccine mandates in general, how effective they are and if Bidens is legal. The cofounders of Equis Research -- a political data firm focused on Latino voters -- share their research on why that swing happened. [00:00:19] Galen Druke speaks with the director of the Harvard study, Robert Waldinger, about the lessons his findings have for politics in America. Nate Silver and Galen Druke open the mailbag and answer listener questions, including how much it would cost to "fix polling" and why Vice President Harris is polling less favorably than President Biden. It's a big election week for liberal democracies. At the beginning of the millennium, about two-thirds of Americans opposed same-sex marriage, and a third supported it. In the main event, former light Two days after Election Day, control of the U.S. House and Senate still hangs in the balance as votes are tallied in the Western states. The crew hosts its first-ever 2024 Republican primary draft (they plan to follow up next week with a 2024 Democratic primary draft). The crew discusses potential sticking points in the Democrats' infrastructure plan and debates whether it should be considered bipartisan if a sizable portion of Republican voters support it, but Republican lawmakers do not. Galen Druke and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discuss the messages that Senators sent and whether we were able to glean anything about what kind of Justice Jackson would be. Then, Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio joins the pod to break down a new poll that asked Latino Americans which party they are favoring in the midterm elections. The report relies on advanced climate modeling to illustrate where global warming is headed. The team looks at the popularity of the Democrats' COVID relief plan and how both Democrats and Republicans are thinking about its provisions. Where the hot sports takes of the week meet the numbers that prove them right or tear them down. Science reporter Maggie Koerth also joins to talk about shifting attitudes on climate change among Republicans. The crew discusses why the Republican National Committee chose to censure Representatives Cheney and Kinzinger and how different parts of the party view the violent events of January 6th, 2021. They also take stock of how Americans are thinking about climate change and government initiatives to stem carbon emissions, after President Biden announced a goal of cutting U.S. emissions to half their 2005 levels by 2030. On the Conversations with Tyler podcast, produced by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, celebrated polymath and academic economist Tyler Cowen explores the minds and methods of today's top thinkers. The crew discusses the politically thorny issue of mental acuity in an increasingly elderly U.S. government, and what Americans think about age limits for public office. James Acton is a physicist and co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Dive in and Share your insights! The crew also looks at changes the Democratic Party is hoping to make to the 2024 presidential primary calendar. Ohio Rep. Anthony Gonzalez announced he is retiring from Congress at the end of his term. Listen at itun.es/i67M5bV. Although much of our elections-related attention is already trained on 2024, there are consequential elections happening this very calendar year. Galen Druke speaks with George Washington University economist Tara Sinclair about the economics behind Americans pessimistic assessment of the economy. The data behind that evolution is striking. Mona Chalabi of FiveThirtyEight.com joins NPR's Rachel Martin for a look at who those people are. Sign up to get unlimited songs and podcasts with occasional ads. BOLIVAR The executive director of the Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne Joint Solid Waste Management District is going to resign from the position and will then be rehired. We speak with journalist Sasha Issenberg about how that happened. The crew discusses what these results mean for the midterms this fall and where other indicators of the political environment are pointing. With the benefit of hindsight and some time to breathe, Galen Druke reflects on key moments of the 2020 race with the authors of the new book, Lucky: How Joe Biden Barely Won The Presidency. During a punchy episode of FiveThirtyEight's now daily politics podcast on Wednesday, Silver pushed back forcefully on anyone out there accusing him or his website of getting the 2020 election. This is the final episode. robert kraft granddaughter. Then the team debates if a surge of women registering to vote in June could be linked to the Supreme Courts recent abortion decision. According to a recent Marist poll, inflation is now Americans leading economic concern. The crew recaps that race and other notable results from the June 14 primaries. Tensions between the U.S. and China have grown in recent years and, in this installment, the crew looks at changing public opinion of China and how it could shape American politics. They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government,American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. On todays Politics Podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19, and the midterms. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government, Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off. Hello and welcome to the identity politics podcast I'm deal injury work. FiveThirtyEight Politics 199 Episodes Share Follow Episodes About 61 minutes | Feb 27, 2023 How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear To mark a year since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. Sept. 25, 2014. negro-leagues-player- ratings. Transcript for What if America had a lot more political parties? What do we know about the novel coronavirus, and what do we know we don't know? This is the second episode. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate and Galen reflect on the many twists and turns of the 2022 campaign so far, including the most salient policy issues and what the final results could tell us about pollsters performance this cycle. They play a game of "Guess What Americans Think," in which the panelists have to guess Americans' opinions on a wide variety of topics, including Elon Musk, inflation and Britney Spears. They also check in on the upcoming Virginia governors race and discuss a FiveThirtyEight report about how Congress may have inadvertently legalized THC -- the main psychoactive compound in marijuana. Together they describe why the war has not turned out as originally expected, what the risks of escalation are today and how the conflict might come to an end. But that doesnt stop us from talking about what we do know: that Republicans didnt make major gains in the Senate, and that the polls were pretty good this cycle. The crew puts Georgia's new voting laws in context and discusses the challenges facing the Biden administration on immigration policy in the short and long term. Galen Druke speaks with POLITICO Europe's Cornelius Hirsch and Clea Caulcutt about the dynamics at play in the French presidential election. MANAGER'S SALARY. 10 Wednesday AM Reads. They also discuss why gas stoves became such a hot topic of debate on the internet and what the 2024 primary for U.S. Senate in California will look like. Since January 2021, eleven states have enacted laws that limit how teachers can talk about race and racism in schools and close to 200 bills have been introduced in 40 states. They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump. Upload your Podcast as an audio or video file to Type Studio in our menu. The crew discusses the Senate passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, new polling on how Americans think about crime and gun violence, and how state-level debates over abortion bans are playing out. In recent weeks, Democrats odds of keeping control of the Senate after the 2022 midterms have ticked up to sixty percent, according to our deluxe forecast model. In the first "Model Talk" episode of the 2022 midterms cycle, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the factors behind that forecast. Democrat and former state Rep. Mary Peltola won Alaska's special congressional election on Wednesday, defeating Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich III. They consider how much. Find us at ThisDayPod.com. 11:03 AM. They also debate whether a poll asking Americans to choose what they think is the best decade of their lives is a good or bad use of polling. Transcript: Ezra Klein Interviews Ta-Nehisi Coates and Nikole Hannah-Jones July 30, 2021 Every Tuesday and Friday, Ezra Klein invites you into a conversation about something that matters, like. Ron DeSantis and former President Donald Trump. podcast transcripts and podcast transcription services. Galen speaks with Atlanta Journal Constitution reporters Tia Mitchell and Greg Bluestein about how the Georgia senate runoff is looking in the final stretch. It's easy. The U.S. House Districts To Watch In 2022: 10/17/22 The team debates if Americans. All you have to do is click the iTunes button below to subscribe to this podcast. 71 Episodes Share Follow Seasons About 38 minutes | Feb 16, 2023 The Hero Who Rode His Segway Off a Cliff Steve Jobs called It "the most amazing piece of technology since the PC." According to Jeff Bezos It was not only "revolutionary," but infinitely commercial. 2023 ABC News Internet Ventures. In this installment, the crew discusses how any potential changes could reshape the nominating process. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and game-changers every week. The crew discusses which indicators are worth watching to get a sense for how the parties will perform in the 2022 elections. Whereas Tester . The crew discusses why the country responded to the attacks the way it did and how healthy American democracy is today. . Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes. How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? Americans Like Bidens Student Debt Forgiveness Plan. They also rank the Senate races that will be most important in determining which party controls the Senate next year. Galen Druke discusses that question with pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson and writers Ramesh Ponnuru and Henry Olsen, who have all spent their careers in Republican politics and conservative thought. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. PODCAST-19 brings you the latest evidence on the COVID-19 pandemic. The Negro League Stars That MLB Kept Out And Is Finally Recognizing. Nathaniel Rakich discusses why it's difficult to draw a broader conclusion about the political environment based on the result. Election Day in Georgia is just a week away, so the crew shook off their turkey hangover to talk about what to expect in Georgias second Senate runoff in two years. It's tempting to use the special election to gauge the national political environment, but the crew explains why one election alone isn't a reliable indicator. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. The question is whether Mississippis law banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy is constitutional. Maybe its time to get rid of election polls. Tester faces a tough bid, but don't sleep on Brown being the weaker of the two. Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. The crew tries to rank the electoral significance of some of the biggest stories in the news right now. It was the biggest shift of any demographic group between the two presidential elections and led to some speculation about a possible realignment. President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided Congress. Technology and politics reporter Kaleigh Rogers discusses the influence of conspiracy theories on the events that led to the Jan. 6th riot, why people believe in conspiracy theories in the first place, and what it means for the future of American politics. Hosts of the British Talking Politics podcast, David Runciman and Helen Thompson, discuss why the British public and some members of the Conservative Party have soured on Johnson in a way that Republicans never soured on President Trump, despite his numerous scandals. And what does Floridas new voting law tell us about the GOPs efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the partys larger motivations? We also look at the future of inflation with economist Kenneth Rogoff. Nate and Galen open the mailbag and answer listeners' questions about politics, polling and anything else on their minds. They also discuss how the country has changed demographically and geographically over the past decade, based on the newly released 2020 census data. The crew looks to the speeches from the past weekend's Conservative Political Action Conference for indications about where the Republican party is headed. Since Jacksons confirmation is the expected outcome, the hearings similar to past ones were more about politics. They also assess whether narratives from the 2021 gubernatorial election in Virginia hold up in light of new data, and debate the hottest legislative topic in Washington: permanent Daylight Saving Time. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless', Politics Podcast: How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear, Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine. The crew looks at how the Johnson & Johnson vaccine pause shaped public opinion of that vaccine and willingness to be vaccinated more broadly. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Feb. 21, 2023 Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine Feb. 16, 2023 Nikki Haley Has Tough Competition In Trump And DeSantis By Galen. Will Democrats Rally Behind President Biden In 2024? The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. How FiveThirtyEight Calculates Pollster Ratings. The crew asks whether comparisons to former President Donald Trump's own classified document scandal are apt. Nevada Democrats introduced a bill on Monday that would change their state's presidential nominating contest from a caucus to a primary and also dislodge New Hampshire from its position as the first primary in the nation. It was a night of firsts, with the first primaries of 2022 taking place in Texas and President Bidens first real State of the Union speech. - In her first-ever diary entry, recorded eight days after President John F. Kennedy is assassinated, Lady Bird presents a dramatic, cinematically detailed moment-by-moment account of those terrible hours in Dallas, and the days that follow. Rev. The podcast turns its focus abroad, to Canada and Germany, to see how other democracies' electoral systems work and what cleavages their politics are facing. Bot Love was created by Diego Senior. Then the content will get automatically transcribed. It was a fiendishly clever and massively hyped invention. Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy 240 views The crew also takes a look at the changes to election law that Republicans have proposed in Georgia and other states after Trump's loss in 2020. Its generally considered to be one of the most comprehensive pictures of trends within the electorate. 01:00 PM. File Upload. Democrat Melanie Stansbury won a special election in New Mexico's first congressional district by a 25-point margin last Tuesday, performing better than Democrats did in the district in 2020. The crew discusses the role partisanship has played in Americans' assessment of risk and their behavior during the pandemic. The crew discusses why Sarah Palin may not be a shoe-in for a vacant House seat in Alaska. Their recent data-driven post-mortem of the Latino vote in 2020 looks at which voters were likeliest to favor Trump and offers some hypotheses as to why. They also take a look at whether the Republican Party is conducting a post-mortem after its recent electoral losses. They also address concerns that the 2020 Census resulted in an undercount of Latinos. The crew talks about what led to Cuomo's resignation, how New Yorkers feel about his replacement, and what this means for New Yorks 2022 Democratic primary race for governor. In 2021, cities around the country are choosing mayors to try to lead them through a long list of challenges, both pre-existing and brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic. Good Contents Are Everywhere, But Here, We Deliver The Best of The Best.Please Hold on! In this live taping of Model Talk in Washington, D.C., Nate and Galen break down the current forecasts for the Senate, House and gubernatorial races. 450 episodes. What does it take to make democracy work? They also explain why a dramatic shift among independent women in a recent New York Times poll shouldn't be taken at face value but also shouldn't undercut the poll. The crew discusses how Bidens approval rating may impact the midterm election, whether tracking Google search terms over time is a better barometer than traditional polling, and how Black voters are changing the political landscape of Georgia. This is why we are coming every fortnight on your podcast platforms to help you make sense of the new and now.

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